France governs without a budget amid political deadlock

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La France gouverne sans budget dans un contexte d’impasse politique
Credit: AFP

French President Emmanuel Macron has passed a special law which allows the government to function without a national budget during the first part of 2026. This development stands out as a significant change in French public finance management, although it does not represent an entirely new occurrence.

The action gained full support from parliament, but it demonstrates how political disagreements continue to block budget agreements, while showing French institutions remain strong. The short-term solution protects state operations, but it reveals essential structural problems that affect France’s democratic accountability, defence plans, and budget management.

How France reached a budgetary impasse

The French government relies on its annual budget known as the loi de finances to establish tax rates and decide how to allocate public funds, and set deficit targets. The law provides official approval for government income and spending plans which cover the next financial year. It must get approval before December 31st.

The talks failed to progress toward an agreement for the year 2026. The joint parliamentary committee, together with senators, failed to establish agreement about which sectors should get priority, how much funding should be allocated, and what timeframes should be followed for deficit reduction. 

The absence of parliamentary approval for the main budget before the year-end deadline created a legal gap which endangered tax collection operations. It disrupted the functioning of ministries, public services, and state agencies.

Macron passed a unique transitional law that automatically extends the 2025 budget into early 2026 in order to avoid institutional paralysis. This law was published in the Official Journal. Until parliamentary discussions resume in January, the measure permits the government to maintain vital services, pay civil servants, and collect taxes.

The legal mechanism serves as a temporary measure

The special law operates on a principle of strict continuity rather than expansion. It authorizes expenditures strictly within the limits of the 2025 budget and explicitly prohibits:

  • The introduction of new taxes
  • Any increase in overall public spending
  • The launch of new budgetary programs

The French government operates on an automatic financial system which maintains current obligations without altering policy direction. The mechanism stops the executive branch from using budget gaps to create new financial plans. This helps protect democratic control.

The French Ministry of Economy and Finance predicts that total state expenditures for the 2025 budget framework will reach approximately €495 billion, while maintaining a public deficit near 4.4% of GDP. These figures now serve as the maximum threshold for early 2026, regardless of any alterations in security or economic conditions.

Defense spending frozen amid strategic pressures

The temporary law produces its most delicate political impact through its influence on defense funding. The deteriorating European security situation, together with Russia’s military operations in Ukraine, has led President Macron to emphasise the need for France to strengthen its defense forces. 

The French defense budget for 2025 has reached approximately €47 billion because the multi-year military programming law dedicates funding to nuclear deterrence modernisation, cyber capabilities development, and troop readiness enhancement. The transitional framework continues to freeze all expected 2026 budget increases until the entire budget receives approval.

NATO members are under increasing pressure to meet or surpass the alliance’s 2% of GDP defense spending benchmark, which coincides with this pause. France has achieved a high level of development, but it plans to establish small growth targets for its ongoing modernisation projects. Short delays in contract negotiations, according to analysts, will result in operational planning difficulties and procurement schedule problems.

Economic and fiscal implications

The temporary budget law provides short-term stability but medium-term uncertainty from an economic standpoint. Continuity mechanisms are generally seen by financial markets as preferable to shutdown scenarios observed in other nations, particularly the United States. 

Because of the European Central Bank’s support and the legitimacy of its institutions, France’s borrowing costs have stayed comparatively stable.

Economists warn that long-term reliance on rollover budgets compromises strategic fiscal planning. France has public debt which exceeds 110% of its GDP, while EU member states need to create workable plans for deficit reduction to meet the EU’s reestablished fiscal rules. France will face delays in making essential decisions about tax reforms, spending cuts, and structural reforms because it lacks a defined budget for 2026.

France faces a potential economic slowdown because it fails to create specific investments in industrial policy, digital infrastructure, and green transition projects during its current efforts to obtain EU funding.

Fragmentation and governance strain

The special law received unanimous approval from the parliament, yet it hides profound political disagreements. The French legislature now operates through multiple factions because no single group holds complete control of the majority. 

The government now faces more difficult budget negotiations because of the division. This also restricts its capability to implement major financial policy changes.

France has used similar budgetary continuity measures in its past operations. The Barnier government lost power through a no-confidence vote, which led to the approval of a comparable law in 2025. These measures have always been temporary, but historical instances show they also appeared during political instability and emergency situations.

France’s legal system places a higher priority on administrative continuity than other nations that have endured protracted government shutdowns. Public services continue to run, pensions are paid, and civil servants continue to work. But frequent use of emergency financial tools runs the risk of normalising what should be an anomaly.

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